Sport Picks
Shakhtar vs AZ Alkmaar
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sub
Isaque Silva In: Bondarenko A.
Out: Isaque Silva
46'
46'
Sub
Maikuma S. In: Dijkstra E.
Out: Maikuma S.
48'
48'
Penetra
AI Match Summary
Shakhtar in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shakhtar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Shakhtar have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar.
- Model gives Shakhtar a 50% chance of winning this.
- Shakhtar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AZ Alkmaar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 68%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shakhtar | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Conference League
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar
2:2
Apr 9, 2026 Conference League
Shakhtar vs AZ Alkmaar
3:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar
3:3
Mar 16, 2005 Europa League
AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar
2:1
Mar 10, 2005 Europa League
Shakhtar vs AZ Alkmaar
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shakhtar Compare
Top Goalscorer Alisson
2 Goals Assists Leader Pedrinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
AZ Alkmaar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shakhtar 59 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shakhtar AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shakhtar scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
AZ Alkmaar let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Shakhtar VS AZ Alkmaar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shakhtar
(Home) 26 Jul
Bursaspor
0 : 0 Shakhtar
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0 Al-Ula
23 Jul
HNK Gorica
0 : 2 Shakhtar
21 Jul
Slaven Belupo
2 : 2 Shakhtar
19 Jul
Rudes
0 : 5 Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0 Al-Ula
21 May
Shakhtar
0 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka
13 May
Shakhtar
3 : 1 Obolon
30 Apr
Shakhtar
1 : 3 Crystal Palace
20 Apr
Shakhtar
1 : 0 Polissya Zhytomyr
Page 1 of 3
AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 Genk
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Anderlecht
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
10 May
Feyenoord
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
23 Apr
G.A. Eagles
0 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
09 Apr
Shakhtar
3 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
22 Mar
Groningen
3 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS0
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar-
TBD-
Noah1
AZ Alkmaar4
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
Zrinjski1
Crystal Palace3
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
Jagiellonia4
Fiorentina5
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Shkendija Tetovo0
Samsunspor5
Rayo Vallecano-
TBD-
Drita4
Celje6
AEK-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc3
Lausanne2
Mainz-
TBD-
Omonia1
Rijeka4
Strasbourg-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar4
AZ Alkmaar6
Sparta Prague1
Crystal Palace2
AEK Larnaca1
Fiorentina4
Rakow Czestochowa2
Samsunspor2
Rayo Vallecano3
Celje2
AEK4
Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz2
Rijeka2
Strasbourg3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar5
AZ Alkmaar2
Crystal Palace4
Fiorentina2
Rayo Vallecano4
AEK3
Mainz2
Strasbourg4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar2
Crystal Palace5
Rayo Vallecano2
Strasbourg0
Final
Crystal Palace1
Rayo Vallecano0
