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Shakhtar vs Dinamo Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kharebashvili S.
17' Event
Kaua Elias
21' Event
Ugrekhelidze N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Shakhtar and Dinamo Tbilisi finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shakhtar
30%
Draws
32%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs Dinamo Tbilisi
7:2
Feb 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:0
Jun 23, 2013 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazaryna Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharebashvili S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osei B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 67 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dinamo Tbilisi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
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Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
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