Sport Picks

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Shakhtar vs Polissya Zhytomyr

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Lviv, Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Nazarenko O.
Assist: Leandro Andrade
35'
Emerllahu L.
46'
Sub
Pedro Henrique In: Azarovi I.
Out: Pedro Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shakhtar and Polissya Zhytomyr finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polissya Zhytomyr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shakhtar
15%
Draws
46%
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polissya Zhytomyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 68%
Polissya Zhytomyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Polissya Zhytomyr
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2 2.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Polissya Zhytomyr
0:2
Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Polissya Zhytomyr
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Shakhtar
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Shakhtar
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Shakhtar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Polissya Zhytomyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazarenko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andriyevski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 41 / 100
Polissya Zhytomyr 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Polissya Zhytomyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Shakhtar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Polissya Zhytomyr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Polissya Zhytomyr
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
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Polissya Zhytomyr

(Away)
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
2 : 0
Kudrivka
04 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
5 : 1
Kudrivka
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)