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Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sham Shui Po
20%
Draws
44%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of Sham Shui Po on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Eastern AA have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sham Shui Po Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sham Shui Po Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:2
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs Eastern AA
0:5
Jan 6, 2024 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Sham Shui Po
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sham Shui Po 24 / 100
Eastern AA 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sham Shui Po Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sham Shui Po's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Eastern AA has conceded goals in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Sham Shui Po has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sham Shui Po

(Home)
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2
Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6
Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2
Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0
Sham Shui Po
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Eastern AA

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 10 6 4 0 25:10 22
2 Tai Po 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
3 Eastern AA 10 4 5 1 25:14 17
4 Hong Kong FC 10 3 3 4 19:23 12
5 Sham Shui Po 10 2 1 7 15:33 7
6 HK U23 10 1 2 7 11:21 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 26:14 16
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 4 3 1 22:18 15
3 North District 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
4 Resources Capital 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
5 Lee Man Warriors 8 1 2 5 12:17 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)