Sport Picks
Shamakhi vs Qarabag Agdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League 2025/2026 Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi 
Match Events
59'
59'
Sub
Adilkhanov E. In: Msanga A.
Out: Adilkhanov E.
59'
59'
Sub
Shuaibu A. In: Ismayilov H.
Out: Shuaibu A.
62'
62'
Kady Borges
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Shamakhi haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
- Shamakhi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shamakhi | Qarabag Agdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Shamakhi
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Qarabag Agdam
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Qarabag Agdam vs Shamakhi
3:1
Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Qarabag Agdam
1:2
Feb 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Shamakhi vs Qarabag Agdam
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shamakhi 58 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shamakhi Qarabag Agdam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shamakhi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Shamakhi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Qarabag Agdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Shamakhi's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Shamakhi VS Qarabag Agdam
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Shamakhi
(Home) 20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1 Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1 Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4 Shamakhi
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0 Shamakhi
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0 Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1 Araz PFK
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2 Turan
03 May
Shamakhi
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
26 Apr
Shamakhi
2 : 0 Kapaz
11 Apr
Shamakhi
0 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 3
Qarabag Agdam
(Away) 18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0 Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2 Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4 Twente
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
20 Aug
Twente
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
06 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
30 Jul
CSKA Sofia
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag Agdam | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz PFK | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | 46 |
| 7 | SumQayit FK | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | 27 |
| 11 | Gabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | 15 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
