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Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Dashdamirov R.
36'
Sub
Santos D. In: Msanga A.
Out: Santos D.
37' Event
Solvet S.

AI Match Summary

Sabah Baku in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Shamakhi
11%
Draws
80%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Shamakhi.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 10%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamakhi Sabah Baku
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 24
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Shamakhi
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
1:2
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Shamakhi
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Sabah Baku
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamakhi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Solvet S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mickels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 10 / 100
Sabah Baku 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamakhi Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sabah Baku let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Shamakhi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamakhi VS Sabah Baku
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamakhi

(Home)
21 May
Gabala
3 : 1
Shamakhi
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Neftci Baku
3 : 0
Shamakhi
03 May
Shamakhi
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
26 Apr
Shamakhi
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)
28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2
Sabah Baku
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)