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Shamal vs Al Hilal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Al Hilal in the AFC Champions League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Shamal have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Al Hilal's 2.42 scored and 0.92 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.19, favoring Al Hilal. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Shamal
20%
Draws
48%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Model gives Al Hilal a 48% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Hilal
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.66 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 18 / 100
Al Hilal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Hilal conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.

Difficult form: Al Hilal registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Hilal
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
12 Oct
Tractor
0 : 0
Shamal
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Al Hilal

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shanghai Port 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Johor DT 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Daejeon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Kyoto 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Newcastle Jets 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Al Ahli SC 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Qadsiah 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Neftchi Fargona 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Pakhtakor 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Al Ittihad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Tractor 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Al Gharafa 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Al Sadd 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)