Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Ebrahimi O.
11'
11'
Al Haydos H.
(Penalty)
13'
13'
Claudinho
Assist: Al Haydos H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-6. The second leg ended 4-6.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Sadd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Al-Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Shamal taking it.
- Al-Sadd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Sadd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Al-Sadd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shamal | Al-Sadd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 13 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 2.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
4:6
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Shamal
3:2
Dec 29, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Shamal
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shamal Compare
Top Goalscorer Seyam T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bounedjah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al-Sadd Compare
Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Claudinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shamal 36 / 100
Al-Sadd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shamal Al-Sadd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Sadd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 36 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Shamal scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Shamal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shamal VS Al-Sadd
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Shamal
(Home) 21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2 Shamal
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6 Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2 Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0 Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0 Shamal
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6 Al-Sadd
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0 Qatar SC
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2 Umm-Salal
17 Mar
Shamal
1 : 3 Al-Duhail
13 Feb
Shamal
2 : 1 Qatar SC
Page 1 of 3
Al-Sadd
(Away) 22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
06 Aug
Aris Limassol
1 : 1 Al-Sadd
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 Al-Sadd
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1 Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 8
06 Aug
Aris Limassol
1 : 1 Al-Sadd
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 Al-Sadd
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1 Al-Sadd
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4 Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4
