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Shamal vs Al Sadd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Shamal Logo

Shamal

4 - 6
FT
Al Sadd Logo

Al Sadd

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ebrahimi O.
11' Event
Al Haydos H.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Claudinho
Assist: Al Haydos H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-6. The second leg ended 4-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shamal
20%
Draws
42%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Sadd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Sadd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Sadd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Sadd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al Sadd
4:6
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al Sadd vs Shamal
3:2
Dec 29, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sadd
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Shamal
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al Sadd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Seyam T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bounedjah B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Claudinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 29 / 100
Al Sadd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Sadd conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Shamal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Sadd
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
Page 1 of 6

Al Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al Duhail -
TBD -
Al Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al Gharafa -
TBD -
Al Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al Duhail 2
Al Waab 0
Al Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al Gharafa 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al Sadd 6
Al Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al Sadd 4
Al Duhail 1
Al Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al Sadd 1
Al Gharafa 4