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Shamal vs Al Shahaniya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Asad A.
25' Event
Hassan A.
45' Event
Antonucci F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Shamal and Al Shahaniya finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shamal
30%
Draws
33%
Al Shahaniya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamal come out ahead of Al Shahaniya on wins alone.
  • Shamal are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 11%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Shahaniya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al Shahaniya
4:2
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Shamal
2:0
Jan 27, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Shahaniya vs Shamal
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Shahaniya
4:0
Sep 23, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Shahaniya vs Shamal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Awad M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Al Shahaniya Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 56 / 100
Al Shahaniya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Shahaniya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Shahaniya let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Shamal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Shahaniya
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Al Shahaniya

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)