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Shamal vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Mon, Apr 13, 2026
3 - 0
02:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Termanini M.
8' Event
Al Rawi A.
18' Event
Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Qatar SC in the QSL 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Qatar SC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Shamal have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Shamal have won 2 to Qatar SC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.75, favoring Shamal. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shamal
35%
Draws
18%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamal have won more games recently than Qatar SC.
  • Win probability leans Shamal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shamal Clean Sheet 12%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Qatar SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Qatar SC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 83 / 100
Qatar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Qatar SC let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shamal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Qatar SC
2.63 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
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Qatar SC

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)