Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Mon, Apr 13, 2026
3 - 0
02:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Termanini M.
8' Event
Al Rawi A.
18' Event
Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

Shamal host Qatar SC in the QSL 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Qatar SC have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Shamal have conceded 1 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Shamal have won 2 to Qatar SC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.44, favoring Shamal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shamal
33%
Draws
27%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamal have won more games recently than Qatar SC.
  • Win probability leans Shamal's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shamal Clean Sheet 16%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Qatar SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Qatar SC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 39 / 100
Qatar SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qatar SC conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Shamal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Qatar SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Qatar SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Qatar SC

(Away)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
03 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 4
Al Wakra
18 Mar
Umm-Salal
0 : 0
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)