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Shamal vs Qatar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bounedjah B.
21' Event
Yan
45' Event
Saoudi A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shamal
35%
Draws
25%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Shamal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shamal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Shamal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 12%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Qatar SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Qatar SC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 65 / 100
Qatar SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Shamal found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Shamal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Qatar SC
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Qatar SC

(Away)
01 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 0
Al Bidda
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al Duhail -
TBD -
Al Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al Gharafa -
TBD -
Al Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al Duhail 2
Al Waab 0
Al Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al Gharafa 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al Sadd 6
Al Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al Sadd 4
Al Duhail 1
Al Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al Sadd 1
Al Gharafa 4