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Shamal vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bounedjah B.
21' Event
Yan
45' Event
Saoudi A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shamal
20%
Draws
20%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Shamal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shamal are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Shamal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shamal Clean Sheet 16%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Qatar SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Qatar SC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Shamal
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Qatar SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 39 / 100
Qatar SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Shamal found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Qatar SC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Qatar SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Qatar SC

(Away)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
03 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 4
Al Wakra
18 Mar
Umm-Salal
0 : 0
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4