Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamkir vs Karat Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2004/2005 Shamkir City Stadium, Şəmkir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2004/2005 game between Shamkir and Karat Baku finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karat Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Shamkir
11%
Draws
9%
Karat Baku
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Shamkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamkir come out ahead of Karat Baku on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shamkir a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2004/2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 20%
Karat Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamkir Karat Baku
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2005 Premier League
Shamkir vs Karat Baku
1:2
Dec 20, 2004 Premier League
Karat Baku vs Shamkir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 76 / 100
Karat Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamkir Karat Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karat Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Shamkir's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shamkir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamkir VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamkir

(Home)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
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Karat Baku

(Away)
23 May
Shamkir
1 : 2
Karat Baku
19 May
Karat Baku
0 : 1
FK Baku
14 May
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Karat Baku
08 May
Karat Baku
1 : 3
Turan
02 May
Kapaz
4 : 1
Karat Baku
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Khazar Lenkoran34246468:1578
2Neftci Baku34246452:1878
3Karvan34237466:1876
4FK Baku342110360:1473
5Turan34227564:2173
6Qarabag Agdam34225761:3171
7Shamakhi34199644:2466
8Imisli FK34169935:2357
9Kapaz341191437:3742
10Karat Baku341241840:6240
11Goyazan Qazax34961930:5233
12Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit34961932:5833
13Shamkir34952034:4832
14Sahdag Qusar34881829:5132
15MOIK Baku34791824:3430
16Adliyya Baku34742324:6625
17Bakili Baku34352622:7114
18Safa Baku34213116:957
Promotion - Premier League 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 2005 (Main)