Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamkir vs Mingachevir

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2014/2015 Shamkir City Stadium, Şəmkir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2014/2015 game between Shamkir and Mingachevir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shamkir
20%
Draws
29%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamkir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shamkir's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular First Division 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shamkir here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 17%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamkir Mingachevir
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
5:1
Nov 12, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Shamkir
0:5
Apr 2, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Shamkir
1:0
Nov 6, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
3:0
May 15, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Mingachevir
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 66 / 100
Mingachevir 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamkir Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamkir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Shamkir scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mingachevir conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Shamkir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamkir

(Home)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 6

Mingachevir

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 30 25 3 2 83:19 78
2 Agsu (Inactive) 30 21 4 5 70:22 67
3 Ravan 30 21 4 5 70:22 67
4 Lokbatan 30 20 5 5 57:25 65
5 Zira FK 2 30 19 6 5 61:19 63
6 Turan 30 15 5 10 75:37 50
7 Sahdag Qusar 30 13 8 9 40:29 47
8 Susa 30 14 4 12 49:31 46
9 Kapaz 30 10 8 12 37:37 38
10 Bakili Baku 30 10 4 16 46:61 34
11 Shamkir 30 8 8 14 25:46 32
12 MOIK Baku 30 8 5 17 26:60 29
13 Imisli FK 30 7 5 18 30:65 26
14 Mingachevir 30 5 3 22 24:82 18
15 Goyazan Qazax 30 3 3 24 15:91 12
16 Bilajary 30 3 1 26 10:72 10
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)