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Shamkir vs Sahdag Qusar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016 Shamkir City Stadium, Şəmkir
Shamkir Logo

Shamkir

2 - 2
FT
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between Shamkir and Sahdag Qusar finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shamkir
20%
Draws
52%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sahdag Qusar come out ahead of Shamkir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 18%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamkir Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 16 22
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2017 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Sep 16, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir
1:0
Feb 24, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Sahdag Qusar
2:2
Oct 14, 2015 Azerbaijan Cup
Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir
1:3
Sep 24, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shamkir
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 10 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamkir Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamkir scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Shamkir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar let in goals in 54% of their last 41 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sahdag Qusar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamkir

(Home)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 7

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 26 20 2 4 74:20 62
2 Lokbatan 26 18 4 4 59:28 58
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 13 8 5 46:29 47
4 MOIK Baku 26 14 5 7 53:24 47
5 Shamkir 26 10 8 8 30:24 38
6 Zaqatala PFK 26 9 9 8 47:36 36
7 Turan 26 10 6 10 35:31 36
8 Imisli FK 26 8 8 10 28:26 32
9 FK Baku 26 9 3 14 33:42 30
10 Bakili Baku 26 8 6 12 34:46 30
11 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 31:54 30
12 Sharurspor 26 8 4 14 45:44 28
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 3 8 15 17:42 17
14 Mingachevir 26 4 3 19 14:100 15
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)