Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock Rovers

1 - 1

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

McClean J.

24'

Sub

Santos K. In: Markey D.

Out: Santos K.

25'

Boyce L.

Assist: McClean J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Shamrock Rovers

20%

Draws

38%

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Derry City haven't matched Shamrock Rovers's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Shamrock Rovers taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 20%

Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamrock Rovers	Derry City
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	17	8
Draws	5	11
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jan 31, 2026 Super Cup

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Oct 26, 2025 Premier Division

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Greene A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 42 / 100

Derry City 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamrock Rovers Derry City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shamrock Rovers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Derry City let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Shamrock Rovers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Derry City

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20