Sport Picks

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Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Tallaght Stadium
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers play Cork City in the FAI Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. Cork City averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 3, Cork City won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 9, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.31 for Cork City. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shamrock Rovers
22%
Draws
40%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamrock Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Cork City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 18%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Cork City
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.71 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 FAI Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
4:1
May 2, 2025 Premier Division
Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 38 / 100
Cork City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Cork City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cork City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shamrock Rovers attacking → ← attacking Cork City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Cork City let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Shamrock Rovers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cork City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 73
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00