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Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Stevens E.
42' Event
Greene A.
Assist: Brennan A.
45' Event
McGovern J.
Assist: Brennan A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Shamrock Rovers and Galway United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shamrock Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shamrock Rovers
30%
Draws
33%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Shamrock Rovers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shamrock Rovers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Galway United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Galway United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
3:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
1:3
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Greene A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGovern J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 29 / 100
Galway United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Shamrock Rovers found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shamrock Rovers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Galway United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
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Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)