Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers host Shelbourne in the Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Shamrock Rovers at 1.7 goals for, 0.88 against; Shelbourne at 1.48 for, 1.58 against. Head-to-head, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 to Shelbourne's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.38) point toward Shamrock Rovers. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Shamrock Rovers
15%
Draws
20%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of Shelbourne on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Shamrock Rovers taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 68%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Shelbourne
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
0:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 86 / 100
Shelbourne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Shelbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Shelbourne has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Shamrock Rovers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Shelbourne
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Dundalk
04 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
KF Egnatia
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
28 Jul
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
21 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Shelbourne

(Away)
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)