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Shan United vs Ayeyawady

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Taunggyi Football Stadium, Taunggyi
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ko Sa Aung Pyae
73' Event
Soe Thet Hein
85' Event
Htay W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Shan United and Ayeyawady finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Shan United
15%
Draws
32%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shan United come out ahead of Ayeyawady on wins alone.
  • Shan United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shan United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shan United Clean Sheet 68%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.52 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Ayeyawady
3:1
Jun 24, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National League
Shan United vs Ayeyawady
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Shan United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko Sa Aung Pyae
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soe Thet Hein
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ayeyawady Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 95 / 100
Ayeyawady 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ayeyawady has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shan United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Ayeyawady
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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Ayeyawady

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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