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Shan United vs Rainbow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Aung Ye Yint
68' Event
Wai H. P.
83' Event
Tun Thu Rein

AI Match Summary

Shan United in this MNL League Cup 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shan United
15%
Draws
0%
Rainbow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shan United have won more games recently than Rainbow.
  • Win probability leans Shan United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Shan United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shan United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Shan United Clean Sheet 20%
Rainbow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Rainbow
Matches Played 33 8
Wins 21 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.73 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.03 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rainbow vs Shan United
0:7
Mar 1, 2024 MNL League Cup
Shan United vs Rainbow
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Ye Yint
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wai H. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Rainbow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 85 / 100
Rainbow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Rainbow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Rainbow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Rainbow has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
Page 1 of 7

Rainbow

(Away)
14 May
Rakhine United
5 : 0
Rainbow
08 May
Glory Goal
2 : 1
Rainbow
02 May
Kachin United
5 : 0
Rainbow
26 Apr
Rainbow
0 : 7
Shan United
31 Mar
Rainbow
2 : 11
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)