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Shanghai Jiading Huilong vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

China China

League One 2025 Jiading Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Wang Haoran
Assist: Bai Jiajun
45'
Feng Yifan
46'
Sub
Fu Shang In: Fan Chao
Out: Fu Shang

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025 game between Shanghai Jiading Huilong and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanghai Jiading Huilong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
39%
Draws
31%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao haven't matched Shanghai Jiading Huilong's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Shanghai Jiading Huilong Clean Sheet 68%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Jiading Huilong Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Shanghai Jiading Huilong
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 League One
Shanghai Jiading Huilong vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Shanghai Jiading Huilong
2:2
May 5, 2024 League One
Shanghai Jiading Huilong vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 League One
Shanghai Jiading Huilong vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Jiading Huilong Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Haoran
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wu Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Jiading Huilong 41 / 100
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Jiading Huilong Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Shanghai Jiading Huilong's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Jiading Huilong VS Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013