Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

FA Cup Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Ademi A.
45' Event
Jean Claude
Assist: Mateus Vital
57' Event
Wesley Moraes
Assist: Ademi A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Shanghai Port advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shanghai Port
22%
Draws
18%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shanghai Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Shanghai Port have produced (1.38).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Shanghai Port taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Shanghai Port, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shanghai Port here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 16%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Port Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:1
May 6, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Port
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Sep 13, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Claude
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Moraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Port 57 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Port Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Shanghai Port's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Shanghai Port remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Port VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Port

(Home)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
17 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2
Shanghai Port
04 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 1
Shanghai Port
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Shanghai Second
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 7

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun4
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Qingdao West Coast0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Shaanxi Union0
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shandong Taishan3
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Quarter-finals
Dalian Yingbo-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Beijing Guoan-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Port-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-