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Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium
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Match Events

16' Event
Chan Shinichi
Assist: Teixeira J.
24'
Wu Xi
30'
Matheus Jussa

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua and Chengdu Rongcheng finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shanghai Shenhua
39%
Draws
31%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chengdu Rongcheng come out ahead of Shanghai Shenhua on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 17%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
May 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan Shinichi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Silva
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 30 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Chengdu Rongcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chengdu Rongcheng conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Shanghai Shenhua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Chengdu Rongcheng
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411