Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dimata L.
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Dimata L.
Assist: Zhang Zhixiong
30' Event
Cimpanu G.
Assist: Dimata L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua and Chongqing Tonglianglong finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shanghai Shenhua
20%
Draws
20%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shanghai Shenhua come out ahead of Chongqing Tonglianglong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shanghai Shenhua a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shanghai Shenhua have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 17%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
May 9, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:2
Aug 30, 2023 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Chenjie
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimata L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cimpanu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 75 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Chongqing Tonglianglong has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Chongqing Tonglianglong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
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Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)