Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dimata L.
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Dimata L.
Assist: Zhang Zhixiong
30' Event
Cimpanu G.
Assist: Dimata L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua and Chongqing Tonglianglong finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shanghai Shenhua
39%
Draws
31%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chongqing Tonglianglong come out ahead of Shanghai Shenhua on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 18%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:2
Aug 30, 2023 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Chenjie
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimata L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cimpanu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 31 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Shanghai Shenhua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chongqing Tonglianglong has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
25 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2
Zhejiang Professional
28 Jun
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 4
Shanghai Shenhua
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Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
5Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
12Shanghai Port1966730:2619
13Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)