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Shao Jiang vs Chiba

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ng L.
45' Event
Emmanuel A.
57' Event
Botero J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Shao Jiang and Chiba finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Shao Jiang
15%
Draws
18%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shao Jiang come out ahead of Chiba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shao Jiang a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Shao Jiang have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 13%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 26 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 4.73 2.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Chiba
3:3
Jan 25, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Shao Jiang
0:2
Feb 20, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Chiba
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Seng L. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cheong H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ng L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emmanuel A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 84 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shao Jiang scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Shao Jiang has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chiba has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS Chiba
5.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shao Jiang

(Home)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
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Chiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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