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Shao Jiang vs Lun Lok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Botero J.
27' Event
Cheang Chi-Kam
Own Goal
38' Event
Medina W.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Shao Jiang and Lun Lok finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shao Jiang
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shao Jiang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 20%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang Lun Lok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 26 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 2 24
Goals Scored 4.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Lun Lok
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Botero J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Medina W.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Lun Lok Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 85 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shao Jiang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shao Jiang scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Lun Lok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Shao Jiang went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS -
3.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shao Jiang

(Home)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 6

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)