Sport Picks

Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2022/2023

Smorgon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shchuchyn play Smorgon in the Belarusian Cup 2022/2023. Smorgon are favorites here. Recently, Shchuchyn averaged 2.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. Smorgon averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Shchuchyn won 0, Smorgon won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2022 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Shchuchyn and 2.50 for Smorgon. This points to a Smorgon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Shchuchyn

25%

Draws

60%

Smorgon

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Shchuchyn picked up more points recently compared to Smorgon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Shchuchyn Clean Sheet 10%

Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shchuchyn	Smorgon
Matches Played	2	30
Wins	0	10
Draws	0	7
Losses	2	13
Goals Scored	2.5	1.4
Goals Conceded	4.5	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 Belarusian Cup

Shchuchyn vs Smorgon

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shchuchyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Baigot A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Usenya S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Likhtin V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shchuchyn 16 / 100

Smorgon 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shchuchyn Smorgon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)

Secondary Pick Smorgon & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shchuchyn attacking → ← attacking Smorgon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shchuchyn scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Smorgon let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Shchuchyn went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Smorgon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 37

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88