Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Usenya S.
24'
24'
Baigot A.
28'
28'
Baigot A.
AI Match Summary
Smorgon in this Belarusian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shchuchyn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Smorgon lately — more wins on the board than Shchuchyn.
- Model gives Smorgon a 35% chance of winning this.
- Smorgon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Smorgon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shchuchyn Clean Sheet 10%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shchuchyn | Smorgon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 2 | 30 |
| Wins | 0 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.5 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2022 Belarusian Cup
Shchuchyn vs Smorgon
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shchuchyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Baigot A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Smorgon Compare
Top Goalscorer Usenya S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Likhtin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shchuchyn 22 / 100
Smorgon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shchuchyn Smorgon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shchuchyn found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (2 games).
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Smorgon let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Smorgon lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shchuchyn VS Smorgon
3 Goals Scored 2.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Shchuchyn
(Home) 27 May
Shchuchyn
3 : 4 FK Lida
28 May
Shchuchyn
2 : 5 Smorgon
27 May
Shchuchyn
3 : 4 FK Lida
28 May
Shchuchyn
2 : 5 Smorgon
Smorgon
(Away) 12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1 Ostrovets
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0 Smorgon
01 Aug
Molodechno
3 : 0 Smorgon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk 0
Gazovik Vitebsk 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
BumProm Gomel 0
Molodechno 1
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Shchuchyn 2
Smorgon 5
TBD -
Slutsk -
Svisloch 0
Volna Pinsk 9
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Neman Belkard 1
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 6
TBD -
Zhodino -
Krumkachy 4
FC Slonim 3
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Uni X Labs 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Malorita 1
Ostrovets 2
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Bobovnya 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
ML Vitebsk 9
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Starye Dorogi 1
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Neman -
Niva Dolbizno 1
FK Lida 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Orsha 1
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Technolog Mogilev 3
FK Miory 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 1
FK Baranovici 2
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
Stanles Pinsk 3
Zhlobin 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 5
Molodechno 0
Slavia Mozyr 3
Smorgon 1
Slutsk 3
Volna Pinsk 2
Din. Minsk 3
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 3
Naftan 0
FC Minsk 1
Ostrovets 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Dynamo Brest 1
ML Vitebsk 2
Vitebsk 3
Osipovichi 1
Neman 3
FK Lida 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Orsha 1
FC Gomel 3
Technolog Mogilev 2
Belshina 4
FK Baranovici 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
Stanles Pinsk 1
BATE 2
1/8-finals
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Din. Minsk 0
Zhodino 1
Isloch Minsk 0
FC Minsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Dynamo Brest 1
Vitebsk 2
Neman 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
FC Gomel 0
Belshina 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 2
Quarter-finals
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Zhodino 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Neman 2
Belshina 0
BATE 10
Semi-finals
Slavia Mozyr 0
Zhodino 1
Neman 1
BATE 2
Final
Zhodino 2
BATE 0
