Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Okyere S.
39'
39'
Allen C.
(Penalty)
54'
54'
McAndrew N.
AI Match Summary
Derby U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Derby U18 lately — more wins on the board than Sheffield Utd U18.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Derby U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Derby U18, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sheffield Utd U18 Clean Sheet 15%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheffield Utd U18 | Derby U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Sheffield Utd U18 vs Derby U18
1:3
Jan 15, 2019 FA Youth Cup
Derby U18 vs Sheffield Utd U18
3:0
Feb 18, 2012 Premier League U18
Sheffield Utd U18 vs Derby U18
3:1
Oct 1, 2011 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Sheffield Utd U18
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheffield Utd U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Okyere S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer McAndrew N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheffield Utd U18 30 / 100
Derby U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheffield Utd U18 Derby U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18 let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Sheffield Utd U18 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Sheffield Utd U18 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Derby U18
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheffield Utd U18
(Home) 22 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
07 Feb
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 2 Leeds U18
10 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon U18
14 Jan
Everton U18
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd U18
30 Apr
Ipswich U18
3 : 2 Sheffield Utd U18
Page 1 of 6
22 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
07 Feb
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 2 Leeds U18
10 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon U18
17 Apr
Sheffield Utd U18
3 : 1 Bristol City U18
15 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 2 Fulham U18
Page 1 of 3
Derby U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
02 May
Manchester City U18
5 : 3 Derby U18
11 Apr
Wolves U18
1 : 2 Derby U18
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Aston Villa U18 4
Cardiff U18 1
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Wolves U18 1
Plymouth U18 3
Lincoln City U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Fulham U18 4
Arsenal U18 4
QPR U18 3
Manchester United U18 5
Preston U18 2
Chelsea U18 7
Merstham U18 1
Watford U18 4
Crewe U18 1
Grimsby U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Southampton U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Derby U18 3
Bournemouth U18 1
Norwich U18 3
Stoke City U18 0
West Brom U18 2
AFC Fylde U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Millwall U18 1
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 1
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 5
Chelsea U18 1
Watford U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Southampton U18 4
Derby U18 1
Norwich U18 2
West Brom U18 4
Leeds U18 1
Manchester City U18 6
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Plymouth U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 3
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
West Brom U18 0
Manchester City U18 6
Semi-finals
Aston Villa U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Watford U18 0
Manchester City U18 1
Final
Aston Villa U18 3
Manchester City U18 1
