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Sheffield Utd U21 vs Stoke City U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hampson O.
Assist: Francis M.
28' Event
Willox K.
Assist: Bickerton J.
33' Event
Marsh L.
Assist: Aston S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Sheffield Utd U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sheffield Utd U21
15%
Draws
26%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheffield Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Stoke City U21 haven't matched Sheffield Utd U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sheffield Utd U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sheffield Utd U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd U21 Stoke City U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2025 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Stoke City U21
4:2
Oct 28, 2025 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hampson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stoke City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Willox K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U21 85 / 100
Stoke City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd U21 Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd U21 scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Stoke City U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Sheffield Utd U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U21 VS Stoke City U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Barnsley U21
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
22 Sept
Charlton U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
14 Sept
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Bristol City U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
25 Aug
Sheffield Utd U21
3 : 1
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)