Sport Picks

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Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mellon M.
43' Event
Tucker N.
82' Event
Thompson M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Burnley U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sheffield Utd U23
20%
Draws
47%
Burnley U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheffield Utd U23 come out ahead of Burnley U23 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U23 taking it.
  • Sheffield Utd U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley U23, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burnley U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sheffield Utd U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd U23 Burnley U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2022 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
0:1
Oct 11, 2021 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
0:3
Jan 13, 2020 Professional Development League
Burnley U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
2:0
Sep 30, 2019 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
0:3
Dec 17, 2018 Professional Development League
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tucker N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U23 27 / 100
Burnley U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd U23 Burnley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sheffield Utd U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sheffield Utd U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U23 VS Burnley U23
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U23

(Home)
09 May
Sheffield Utd U23
0 : 1
Bristol City U23
03 May
Ipswich U23
3 : 0
Sheffield Utd U23
26 Apr
Sheffield Utd U23
1 : 1
Millwall U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
05 Apr
QPR U23
0 : 1
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)