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Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheffield Utd host Lincoln City in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lincoln City have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Sheffield Utd have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Sheffield Utd have won 3 to Lincoln City's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2023, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.25) back Lincoln City to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sheffield Utd
15%
Draws
59%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd Lincoln City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2023 EFL Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln City
0:1
Jul 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Lincoln City vs Sheffield Utd
0:6
Jul 28, 2009 Club Friendly
Lincoln City vs Sheffield Utd
0:2
Sep 4, 2000 EFL Cup
Lincoln City vs Sheffield Utd
1:0
Aug 21, 2000 EFL Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln City
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd 41 / 100
Lincoln City 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sheffield Utd's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lincoln City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sheffield Utd stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd VS Lincoln City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Sheffield Utd
13 Sept
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1
Wolves
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln City

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1
Southampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)