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Sheffield Utd W vs Nottingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Sheffield Utd W at 1.07 goals for, 2.33 against; Nottingham W at 1.23 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Nottingham W slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.25) point toward Nottingham W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sheffield Utd W
20%
Draws
58%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham W come out ahead of Sheffield Utd W on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham W taking it.
  • Nottingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sheffield Utd W Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd W Nottingham W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Sheffield Utd W
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 WSL 2
Sheffield Utd W vs Nottingham W
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
Sheffield Utd W vs Nottingham W
3:0
Feb 17, 2013 Women’s FA Cup
Sheffield Utd W vs Nottingham W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd W 10 / 100
Nottingham W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Sheffield Utd W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sheffield Utd W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd W VS Nottingham W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd W

(Home)
04 Oct
Sheffield Utd W
1 : 2
Ipswich W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
13 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
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Nottingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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