Sport Picks
Sheger Ketema FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
60'
60'
Bizuneh K.
64'
64'
Tarekegn Y.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sheger Ketema FC and Negele Arsi Ketema FC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Negele Arsi Ketema FC come out ahead of Sheger Ketema FC on wins alone.
- Sheger Ketema FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheger Ketema FC | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sheger Ketema FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheger Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Tarekegn Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bizuneh K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheger Ketema FC 50 / 100
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheger Ketema FC Negele Arsi Ketema FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sheger Ketema FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sheger Ketema FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sheger Ketema FC VS Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheger Ketema FC
(Home) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
20 May
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 1 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
10 May
Sheger Ketema FC
1 : 0 Sidama Bunna
29 Apr
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
Page 1 of 4
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Away) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 7
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
14 May
Mechal SC
4 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
06 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
