Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Sidama Bunna

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC play Sidama Bunna in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sheger Ketema FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Sidama Bunna averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Sheger Ketema FC won 1, Sidama Bunna won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Sheger Ketema FC and 0.94 for Sidama Bunna. This points to a Sidama Bunna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Sheger Ketema FC

35%

Draws

37%

Sidama Bunna

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Sheger Ketema FC picked up more points recently compared to Sidama Bunna.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 24%

Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheger Ketema FC	Sidama Bunna
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	15
Draws	14	8
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	0.83	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.8	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Dec 30, 2025 Premier League

Sidama Bunna vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fikru B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Sidama Bunna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheger Ketema FC 30 / 100

Sidama Bunna 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheger Ketema FC Sidama Bunna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sidama Bunna or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +35.2%

5.88

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sheger Ketema FC attacking → ← attacking Sidama Bunna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheger Ketema FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sidama Bunna let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sheger Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sidama Bunna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 53

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35