Sport Picks
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
Shelbourne in this League Cup 2011 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shelbourne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Carlow haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
- Shelbourne are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Shelbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Shelbourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 68%
Carlow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shelbourne | Carlow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 9 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2011 League Cup
Shelbourne vs Carlow
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shelbourne 77 / 100
Carlow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shelbourne Carlow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shelbourne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shelbourne's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Carlow conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Shelbourne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shelbourne VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shelbourne
(Home) 25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2 Ajax
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2 St. Patricks
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2 Kalju
Page 1 of 4
Carlow
(Away) 17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 2
17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2 Carlow
23 May
Blarney Utd
2 : 1 Carlow
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Tralee -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fanad United 0
Salthill 2
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Longford 2
Athlone 1
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Cockhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
1/16-finals
Cork City -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers 1
Wexford 3
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Waterford 4
Tralee 0
Kerry 0
Limerick 1
Derry City 4
Salthill 2
Finn Harps 0
Mervue United 1
Drogheda 1
Bray 0
Longford 2
UC Dublin 3
Shelbourne 4
Carlow 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Cockhill 3
Galway United 1
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
1/8-finals
Cork City 1
Wexford 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
St. Patricks 2
Monaghan United 2
Dundalk 1
Waterford 0
Limerick 1
Derry City 2
Mervue United 1
Drogheda 2
UC Dublin 3
Shelbourne 4
Bohemians 2
Cockhill 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Quarter-finals
Cork City 2
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Limerick 5
Derry City 3
UC Dublin 0
Shelbourne 1
Sligo Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Cork City 3
Limerick 1
Derry City 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Final
Cork City 0
Derry City 1
