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Shelbourne vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne host Drogheda in the Premier Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shelbourne have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Drogheda's 1.31 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Shelbourne have won 1 to Drogheda's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring Shelbourne. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Shelbourne
35%
Draws
58%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Drogheda haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Drogheda a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 14%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Drogheda
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
3:4
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:1
May 19, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 10 / 100
Drogheda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Drogheda let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Shelbourne has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Drogheda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2
Ajax
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
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Drogheda

(Away)
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
25 Jul
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2
Drogheda
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)