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Shelbourne vs Drogheda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Boyd S. In: Freitas R.
Out: Boyd S.
22' Event
Kelly D.
Assist: Moore S.
40' Event
Davis W.
Assist: O'Brien E.

AI Match Summary

Drogheda in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drogheda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shelbourne
20%
Draws
51%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shelbourne haven't matched Drogheda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shelbourne a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 17%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Drogheda
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
1:2
Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
3:4
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burney L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 36 / 100
Drogheda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shelbourne's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Drogheda let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Shelbourne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Drogheda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6

Drogheda

(Away)
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)