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Club Friendly

Longford

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne play Longford in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shelbourne averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Longford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Shelbourne won 3, Longford won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Shelbourne and 1.38 for Longford. This points to a Shelbourne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Shelbourne

24%

Draws

33%

Longford

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Shelbourne picked up more points recently compared to Longford.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Shelbourne Clean Sheet 17%

Longford Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shelbourne	Longford
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	13	7
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.57	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Shelbourne vs Longford

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly

Longford vs Shelbourne

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly

Longford vs Shelbourne

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Nov 15, 2020 Premier Division

Shelbourne vs Longford

Possession: 40% - 40% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Jan 28, 2020 Club Friendly

Shelbourne vs Longford

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 42 / 100

Longford 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shelbourne Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shelbourne or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shelbourne attacking → ← attacking Longford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shelbourne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 37

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88