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Shelbourne vs Longford

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Shelbourne and Longford finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shelbourne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Shelbourne
15%
Draws
76%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Longford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Longford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Shelbourne vs Longford
4:1
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Longford vs Shelbourne
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Longford vs Shelbourne
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Longford
0:1
Jan 28, 2020 Club Friendly
Shelbourne vs Longford
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 18 / 100
Longford 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shelbourne scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Longford conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shelbourne stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Longford
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2
Ajax
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
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Longford

(Away)
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0
Finn Harps
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1
Longford
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