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Shelbourne vs Monaghan United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Oct 19, 2012
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. This one's hard to separate. Shelbourne have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Monaghan United's 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded. Head-to-head, Shelbourne have won 2 to Monaghan United's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.38) point toward Shelbourne. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shelbourne
30%
Draws
41%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shelbourne have won more games recently than Monaghan United.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shelbourne taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 17%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Monaghan United
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.47 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2012 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Monaghan United
0:0
Aug 3, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Shelbourne
0:0
May 4, 2012 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Monaghan United
2:1
Sep 30, 2011 Division 1
Shelbourne vs Monaghan United
1:2
Jul 1, 2011 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Shelbourne
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 36 / 100
Monaghan United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shelbourne scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Monaghan United has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Shelbourne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)