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Shenkolli vs KF Oriku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2019/2020
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2019/2020 game between Shenkolli and KF Oriku finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Oriku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shenkolli
15%
Draws
85%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KF Oriku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenkolli haven't matched KF Oriku's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and KF Oriku have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shenkolli Clean Sheet 21%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenkolli KF Oriku
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 2
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Shenkolli vs KF Oriku
1:3
Jun 13, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Shenkolli
3:2
Feb 23, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Shenkolli vs KF Oriku
0:1
Nov 9, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Shenkolli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenkolli 32 / 100
KF Oriku 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenkolli KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Oriku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Oriku lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: KF Oriku conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Shenkolli found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Shenkolli VS KF Oriku
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenkolli

(Home)
18 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 0
Shenkolli
29 Jul
Shenkolli
4 : 6
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Turbina Cerrik
7 : 2
Shenkolli
19 Jul
Shenkolli
1 : 3
KF Oriku
12 Jul
KS Devolli
1 : 0
Shenkolli
Page 1 of 6

KF Oriku

(Away)
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kastrioti 16 11 4 1 19:4 37
2 Beselidhja Lezha 16 8 4 4 19:12 28
3 Erzeni Shijak 16 7 4 5 18:10 25
4 Korabi Peshkopi 16 8 1 7 16:15 25
5 Burreli 16 6 6 4 17:16 24
6 KF Egnatia 16 4 7 5 14:13 19
7 Terbuni Puka 16 3 6 7 11:16 15
8 Koplik 16 3 4 9 11:22 13
9 Dinamo City 16 3 2 11 9:26 11
10 Shkumbini Peqin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 18 12 3 3 30:15 39
2 Apolonia Fier 18 11 4 3 36:14 37
3 Lushnja 18 11 2 5 30:18 35
4 Besa Kavaje 18 8 3 7 28:24 27
5 KF Oriku 18 6 6 6 12:15 24
6 KS Devolli 18 7 3 8 29:30 24
7 Iliria Kruja 18 4 6 8 18:23 18
8 Shenkolli 18 3 8 7 17:28 17
9 Turbina Cerrik 18 4 4 10 14:26 16
10 KF Elbasani 18 4 1 13 14:35 13
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Division 2019/2020 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - First Division 2019/2020 (Relegation Group)