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Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai

China China

Super League 2023 Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre, Shenzhen
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Liu Yue
40'
Liao Chengjian
57'
Sub
Yuan J. In: Li Wei
Out: Yuan J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023 game between Shenzhen FC and Changchun Yatai finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changchun Yatai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shenzhen FC
6%
Draws
90%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Changchun Yatai are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Changchun Yatai here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 21%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen FC Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:1
Jun 8, 2023 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC
4:1
Dec 10, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:2
Sep 30, 2022 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC
1:0
Dec 29, 2021 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Changchun Yatai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Cao Yongjing
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
Changchun Yatai 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen FC Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Shenzhen FC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Changchun Yatai's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Changchun Yatai
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenzhen FC

(Home)
04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0
Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1
Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5
Zhejiang Professional
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Changchun Yatai

(Away)
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
30 May
Yanbian Longding
2 : 2
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)