Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan

China China

Super League 2023 Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen FC play Shandong Taishan in the Super League 2023. Shandong Taishan are favorites here. Recently, Shenzhen FC averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Shandong Taishan averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Shenzhen FC won 0, Shandong Taishan won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 25, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Shenzhen FC and 1.24 for Shandong Taishan. This points to a Shandong Taishan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Shenzhen FC
15%
Draws
74%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shandong Taishan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenzhen FC picked up more points recently compared to Shandong Taishan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 19%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen FC Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.7 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan
1:2
May 24, 2023 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC
3:0
Dec 19, 2022 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC
8:0
Sep 24, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan
0:4
Aug 5, 2021 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen FC
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghojaehmet Shahzat
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen FC 14 / 100
Shandong Taishan 69 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen FC Shandong Taishan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shandong Taishan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shandong Taishan & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shenzhen FC attacking → ← attacking Shandong Taishan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Shandong Taishan let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Shenzhen FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shandong Taishan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 61
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912