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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Wesley Moraes
Assist: Owusu-Sekyere D.
32'
Andjelkovic N.
44'
Sub
Kartsev E. In: Yao Junsheng
Out: Kartsev E.

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Qingdao Hainiu in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at 1.63 goals for, 1.5 against; Qingdao Hainiu at 2 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Shenzhen Xinpengcheng slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.75) back Qingdao Hainiu to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
44%
Draws
20%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao Hainiu demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 12%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Apr 26, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Moraes
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Cong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 35 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Qingdao Hainiu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Qingdao Hainiu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Qingdao Hainiu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348