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Shepshed vs Newcastle Town

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Sat, Jul 22, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shepshed host Newcastle Town in the Club Friendly 2023. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Shepshed at 0.93 goals for, 1.75 against; Newcastle Town at 1.03 for, 2.28 against. Head-to-head, Shepshed have won 0 to Newcastle Town's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.56) back Shepshed to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Shepshed
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shepshed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle Town lately — more wins on the board than Shepshed.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Shepshed taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shepshed Clean Sheet 15%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shepshed Newcastle Town
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Shepshed vs Newcastle Town
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shepshed 66 / 100
Newcastle Town 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shepshed Newcastle Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shepshed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newcastle Town conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Newcastle Town's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shepshed scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shepshed VS Newcastle Town
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shepshed

(Home)
12 Sept
Shifnal Town
3 : 0
Shepshed
04 Sept
Quorn
2 : 1
Shepshed
29 Aug
Carlton Town
2 : 3
Shepshed
13 Sept
Shepshed
0 : 2
Stamford
06 Sept
Shepshed
0 : 4
Anstey Nomads
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Newcastle Town

(Away)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
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