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Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga 2019 game between Sherdor and Neftchi Fargona finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sherdor
6%
Draws
90%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sherdor haven't matched Neftchi Fargona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Neftchi Fargona here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 15%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sherdor Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 21
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Sep 18, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
3:0
Aug 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Neftchi Fargona
2:4
May 15, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Sherdor
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sherdor 10 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sherdor Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Sherdor found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Neftchi Fargona has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Sherdor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftchi Fargona
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185