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Sherdor vs Oktepa Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oktepa Tashkent in this Pro Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oktepa Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sherdor
35%
Draws
41%
Oktepa Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oktepa Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oktepa Tashkent lately — more wins on the board than Sherdor.
  • Model gives Oktepa Tashkent a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Oktepa Tashkent have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 20%
Oktepa Tashkent Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sherdor Oktepa Tashkent
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 20
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1.3 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Oktepa Tashkent vs Sherdor
4:2
Sep 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Oktepa Tashkent
1:3
Aug 7, 2019 Pro Liga
Oktepa Tashkent vs Sherdor
2:1
Jun 26, 2019 Uzbekistan Cup
Sherdor vs Oktepa Tashkent
0:1
May 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Oktepa Tashkent
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sherdor 16 / 100
Oktepa Tashkent 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sherdor Oktepa Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oktepa Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sherdor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Oktepa Tashkent let in goals in 39% of their last 36 matches.

Sherdor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oktepa Tashkent
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sherdor

(Home)
13 Nov
Oktepa Tashkent
4 : 2
Sherdor
06 Nov
Sherdor
0 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
31 Oct
Iftixor
0 : 3
Sherdor
21 Oct
Sherdor
1 : 2
Shortan Guzor
13 Oct
Istiklol Fergana
5 : 0
Sherdor
Page 1 of 6

Oktepa Tashkent

(Away)
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
0 : 0
Oktepa Tashkent
04 Sept
Oktepa Tashkent
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
23 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0
Oktepa Tashkent
11 Aug
Oktepa Tashkent
0 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
04 Aug
Aral
0 : 0
Oktepa Tashkent
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mashal Muborak 28 16 7 5 52:24 55
2 Istiklol Fergana 28 16 5 7 64:28 53
3 Oktepa Tashkent 28 16 3 9 62:42 51
4 Neftchi Fargona 28 15 3 10 40:26 48
5 Shortan Guzor 28 15 3 10 55:36 48
6 Xorazm Urganch 28 14 5 9 58:37 47
7 Sherdor 28 4 2 22 39:75 14
8 Iftixor 28 1 2 25 16:118 5
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