Sport Picks

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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij

Europe Europe

Europa League Sheriff Arena
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol play Aluminij in the Europa League. Sheriff Tiraspol are favorites here. Recently, Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded. Aluminij averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Sheriff Tiraspol won 2, Aluminij won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0.38 for Aluminij. This points to a Sheriff Tiraspol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
6%
Draws
4%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aluminij.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sheriff Tiraspol.
  • Cup tournament structure in Europa League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Aluminij
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 20 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
0-0
Apr 12, 2025 Europa League
Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Europa League
Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
Aluminij 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Aluminij

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aluminij let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aluminij lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Aluminij
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hammarby-
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Quarter-finals
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