Sport Picks
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol 
Match Events
46'
46'
Vrbanec M.
48'
48'
Fomba B.
61'
61'
Sub
Bajraj M. In: Osuji B.
Out: Bajraj M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Sheriff Tiraspol have won more games recently than Aluminij.
- Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheriff Tiraspol | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 25 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2026 Europa League
Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Jul 9, 2026 Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheriff Tiraspol 86 / 100
Aluminij 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheriff Tiraspol Aluminij
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.
Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sheriff Tiraspol VS Aluminij
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheriff Tiraspol
(Home) 20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
09 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 0 Dacia Buiucani
06 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 3 St. Gallen
Page 1 of 3
Aluminij
(Away) 02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0 Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2 Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6 Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0 Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
Page 1 of 5
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2 Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6 Aluminij
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3 Aluminij
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0 Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Aluminij
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
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Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0
