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Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Platica M.
19'
Ghanem Q.
26' Event
Rai

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Sheriff Tiraspol and CSF Balti finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSF Balti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
6%
Draws
4%
CSF Balti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CSF Balti.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sheriff Tiraspol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:3
Jul 13, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CSF Balti Compare

Top Goalscorer Cociuc E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
CSF Balti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

CSF Balti let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CSF Balti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS CSF Balti
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti21146144:1448
2Zimbru Chisinau21135352:2144
3Sheriff Tiraspol21132643:1741
4Milsami21114642:2537
5CSF Balti2185827:2929
6Dacia Buiucani21431424:3915
7Politehnica UTM21411624:6113
8Sparta Selemet21321613:6311