Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Josan A.
40' Event
Pergjoni A.
46'
Sub
Forov D. In: Fratea V.
Out: Forov D.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Sheriff Tiraspol and Dacia Buiucani finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sheriff Tiraspol
30%
Draws
31%
Dacia Buiucani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Dacia Buiucani
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.74 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
1:0
May 3, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pergjoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dacia Buiucani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
Dacia Buiucani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Dacia Buiucani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Dacia Buiucani let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Dacia Buiucani
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Dacia Buiucani

(Away)
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)