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Sheriff Tiraspol vs FCM Ungheni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol Logo

Sheriff Tiraspol

7 - 0
FT
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ademo P.
36' Event
Jaures-Ulrich L.
52' Event
Gjoni A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Sheriff Tiraspol advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sheriff Tiraspol
20%
Draws
40%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni haven't matched Sheriff Tiraspol's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sheriff Tiraspol's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheriff Tiraspol, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.87 2.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs FCM Ungheni
7:0
Nov 1, 2023 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs FCM Ungheni
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaures-Ulrich L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FCM Ungheni Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 34 / 100
FCM Ungheni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FCM Ungheni conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS FCM Ungheni
1.5 Goals Scored 3.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
09 Oct
FCM Ungheni
1 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0