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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol host Milsami in the Super Liga. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Sheriff Tiraspol at 1.5 goals for, 0.25 against; Milsami at 0.38 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 to Milsami's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.32, favoring Sheriff Tiraspol. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
6%
Draws
4%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Milsami on wins alone.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
Milsami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Milsami
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
Milsami 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Milsami has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Milsami
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
28 Jun
Sheriff Tiraspol
3 : 0
Real Sireti
Page 1 of 6

Milsami

(Away)
16 Jul
Milsami
0 : 1
Velez Mostar
12 Jul
Milsami
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
09 Jul
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Milsami
04 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
5 : 0
Milsami
27 Jun
Milsami
0 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti32108:27
2Sheriff Tiraspol32107:27
3Dacia Buiucani32015:26
4Zimbru Chisinau31115:44
5CSF Balti31114:44
6Politehnica UTM31112:44
7Milsami30120:61
8Real Sireti30031:80
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)